At 08:52 AM 9/25/2003 -0400, Gary King wrote: I understand the argument for burdening the estimation stage with lots of hypothesized covariates (although I don't like it!). I also understand the problem with using the alphas as statistical summaries. They just move around the bivariate normal from which the precinct estimates are drawn; they do not reflect the actual relationship between covariates and estimated behavior that emerges after the bounds constrain precinct estimation. But I'm not clear on what you are prescribing when you say people should go to the precinct estimates if they want to report the relationship between various explanatory variables and the (estimated) group behavior. I thought that's what I was doing with the second-stage regression. Can you provide any guidance? Apparently it was George Smathers, a senator from Florida. He is quoted as having said the following about Claude Pepper (see http://www.lincolninstitute.org/archives/kennedy/0303.html) - was a shameless extrovert - practiced celibacy before his marriage - had a sister who was a thespian in wicked New York - matriculated before entering college - was a well-known heterosexual in college steve voss -------------------------------------------------------------- D. Stephen Voss, Asst. Prof URL- http://www.uky.edu/~dsvoss 1603 Patterson Office Tower Phone- (859)257-4313 Dept. of Political Science "It was my duty to bring University of Kentucky the facts to light, and there Lexington, KY 40506-0027 I must leave it." Sherlock Holmes -------------------------------------------------------------- - EI mailing list served by Harvard-MIT Data Center Subscribe/Unsubscribe: http://lists.hmdc.harvard.edu/?info=ei